Long summary
What is this summary about?
This summary presents the evidence regarding marginalised communities such as pastoralists and fishermen who are at more risk from climate impacts.
What evidence is this summary based on?
This summary is based on one systematic review
López-i-Gelats, F., Fraser, E. D., Morton, J. F., & Rivera-Ferre, M. G. (2016). What drives the vulnerability of pastoralists to global environmental change? A qualitative meta-analysis. Global Environmental Change, 39, 258-274. https://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/16582/7/16582%20MORTON_Vulnerability_of_Pastoralists_2016.pdf
What are the main findings?
This review examines the vulnerability of marginalized livelihood groups, particularly pastoralists and fisherfolk, to climate impacts. It highlights how climate variability interacts with socio-economic and political structures to shape their risks and adaptation strategies. While climate factors like unpredictable rainfall, prolonged droughts, rising temperatures, and extreme weather events threaten these communities, non-climate pressures—such as land-use changes, restrictive policies, and economic marginalization—often play an even greater role in determining their resilience.
Pastoralists face increasing constraints due to land privatization, agricultural expansion, conservation initiatives, and weakened customary governance, all of which restrict mobility and access to grazing lands. These pressures, combined with conflicts over land and water, shifting demographics, and economic restructuring, create long-term precarity. In response, pastoralists adopt strategies such as herd mobility, economic diversification, communal resource management, and market integration, though some are forced to abandon pastoralism entirely, relying instead on government or NGO support. However, adaptation is often constrained by policies that fail to support land tenure and mobility rights.
Fisherfolk also experience climate-related vulnerabilities, particularly in Ghana, where fish farming in artificial ponds and lakes has become a key adaptation strategy. Women farmers highlight the importance of seasonal forecasts and post-harvest technologies in stabilizing agricultural production. Overall, flexible livelihood strategies, improved access to climate information, and policies that recognize the socio-ecological complexity of these livelihoods are essential for reducing vulnerability.
1. Key finding
Overall
A qualitative meta-analysis was conducted to explore patterns and trends in pastoral vulnerability, identifying six distinct pathways: Encroachment, Re-greening, Customary, Polarization, Communal, and No-Alternative. These pathways reflect how climate and socio-economic pressures shape pastoral resilience and adaptation.
Women and Girls-Related: Not available in this review.
2. Short Summary
Pastoralism has often been regarded as environmentally unsustainable and economically unviable, yet it remains a crucial livelihood for many communities. This study highlights how pastoralists’ vulnerability is shaped by exposure to both climate and non-climate transformations, unfavorable development policies, the adaptability of pastoralists, and the complex role of market integration. Climate-related risks, such as shifting precipitation patterns, prolonged droughts, and extreme weather, are compounded by non-climate stressors, including land-use changes, policy marginalization, and resource conflicts.
These pressures have led to reduced access to rangelands, shrinking herd sizes, and weakened traditional governance systems. The study categorizes pastoral vulnerability into six pathways: encroachment, where land loss to agriculture and infrastructure threatens traditional practices; re-greening, where afforestation alters pasture availability; customary, where traditional pastoral systems remain intact; polarization, where pastoralists either intensify livestock production or abandon it altogether; communal, where strong community resource management enhances resilience; and no-alternative, where pastoralists lack viable economic options beyond livestock.
Despite their resilience, pastoralists continue to face socio-economic barriers that limit their capacity to adapt. Addressing these vulnerabilities requires policies that integrate climate adaptation with land rights protections, fair development strategies, and improved market access to ensure the sustainability of pastoral livelihoods.
3. Long summary
3.1 PICOS
Population: Pastoralist communities in Mongolia, the Himalaya-Pamir, the Arctic, Western and Eastern Africa, European mountains, the Andes, Southern Africa, and Northern Africa.
Intervention: Climate stressors (changing precipitation, droughts, temperature rise, glacier retreat) and non-climate transformations (land-use policies, governance changes, economic marginalization, demographic pressures, and conflicts).
Outcome: Increasing constraints on pastoral livelihoods due to reduced access to grazing lands, weakened traditional institutions, shrinking herd sizes, and limited adaptation options.
Study design: Systematic review and qualitative meta-analysis of 74 case studies using multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) and cluster analysis to identify trends.
3.2 Risk of bias Not assessed
3.3 Publication bias Not assessed
3.4 Findings
Pastoral communities are highly exposed to climate trends, with changes in the seasonality of precipitation and droughts being the most significant risks. Other climate-related threats include rising temperatures, floods, snowstorms, strong winds, glacier retreat, extreme winters, and reduced snowfall. Beyond climate factors, pastoralists also face non-climate pressures such as poorly designed policies that marginalize their way of life, the weakening of traditional institutions like elders’ councils, and violent conflicts. Additional stressors include agricultural encroachment on grazing lands, population growth, migration, increasing livestock competition, and the expansion of forests and shrubs onto traditional pasturelands.
The impacts of these challenges on pastoral livelihoods are severe, leading to reduced access to rangelands, increasing difficulties in maintaining traditional mobility, shrinking herd sizes, declining animal health, and growing reliance on markets. In response, pastoralists have adopted various adaptation strategies, including herd mobility, adjusting grazing patterns, diversifying their income through alternative livelihoods, and strengthening social networks through communal planning and herding. Market-based strategies such as increasing trade access, pasture enclosure, herd accumulation, and, in some cases, abandoning pastoralism altogether have also been observed.
Further adaptation measures include enhanced herd and household mobility, labor and farm diversification, shifts in livestock species composition, and herd restocking. Many pastoralists have also turned to skill development, participation in new markets, the use of high-yield livestock breeds, modern technologies, and, in some cases, the transition to more sedentary lifestyles as a means of coping with environmental and socio-economic pressures.
3.5 Sensitivity analysis Not assessed
4. AMSTAR 2 assessment of the review
| 1. | Did the review state clearly the components of PICOS (or appropriate equivalent)? | Yes | |
| 2. | Did the report of the review contain an explicit statement that the review methods were established prior to the conduct of the review and did the report justify any significant deviations from the protocol? (i.e. was there a protocol) | No | |
| 3. | Did the review authors use a comprehensive literature search strategy? | Yes | |
| 4. | Did the review authors perform study selection in duplicate? | No | |
| 5. | Did the review authors perform data extraction in duplicate? | No | |
| 6. | Did the review authors provide a list of excluded studies and justify the exclusions? | No | |
| 7. | Did the review authors describe the included studies in adequate detail? (Yes if table of included studies, partially if other descriptive overview) | No | |
| 8. | Did the review authors use a satisfactory technique for assessing the risk of bias (RoB) in individual studies that were included in the review? | No | |
| 9. | Did the review authors report on the sources of funding for the studies included in the review? | No | |
| 10. | If meta-analysis was performed did the review authors use appropriate methods for statistical combination of results? | Na | |
| 11. | Did the review authors provide a satisfactory explanation for, and discussion of, any heterogeneity observed in the results of the review? | No | |
| 12. | If they performed quantitative synthesis did the review authors carry out an adequate investigation of publication bias (small study bias) and discuss its likely impact on the results of the review? | No | |
| 13. | Did the review authors report any potential sources of conflict of interest, including any funding they received for conducting the review? | No | |
| Overall (lowest rating on any critical item) | Low |
5. Count of references to the following words
| Sex | 0 |
| Gender | 1 |
| Women | 0 |
| Intra-household | 0 |
1. Headline finding
Overall: Climate change perceptions and adaptation are highly contextual and considerably varied by gender and different intersections. Women and men have different adoption strategies.
Women and girls-related: Female farmers were tend to be more concerned and fatalistic about climate change which reminds us the urgency of culturally appropriate climate change communication to obtain informed decision regarding climate change. Women adaopted differently to climate change as compared to men.
2. Short summary (approx. 150-200 words)
Existing gender role, farmers’ age, education, knowledge, marital status, intra-household power structure, religion, social status and ethnicity were intersecting with gender and climate change perception and adaptation. Apart from gender and intersectionality, access to resources, social network and local institutions are found to be important correlates of adaptation strategies by farmers. Among the financial adaptation strategies, selling assets and taking credit was most preferred financial adaptation. Women were found adopting different structural adaptation strategies like water harvesting, pen reinforcement, digging wells and boreholes, building water tanks and construction of trenches to control bushfire. Managereal adaptation strategies included change in cropping, and use of fertilizers. Socio-cultural adaptation
included reducing consumption of number and amount of meals and using wild plant to make traditional food to fight against drought. Livelihood adaptation included diversifying income through temporary non-farm activities. Seasonal or temporary migration was another form of adaptation.
Long summary
3.1 PICOS
Peer-reviewed journal articles– those discussing gender disaggregated perception and/or adaptation to climate change in agriculture around the globe published from 1 January 2005 to 18 April 2019 and written in English were considered for this systematic review.
3.2 Risk of bias : Not done
3.3 Publication bias : Not done
3.4 Findings (up to one page)
Technical adaptation
Financial adaptation
Structural adaptation
Managerial adaptation
Socio-cultural adaptation
Eight studies discussed about gendered socio-cultural adaptation.
Livelihood adaptation
Twenty studies were found exploring livelihood adaptation strategies.
Migration as an adaptation
3.5 Sensitivity analysis
4. AMSTAR 2 assessment of the review
| 1. | Did the the review state clearly the components of PICOS (or appropriate equivalent)? | Yes | |
| 2. | Did the report of the review contain an explicit statement that the review methods were established prior to the conduct of the review and did the report justify any significant deviations from the protocol? (i.e. was there a protocol) Yes | ||
| 3. | Did the review authors use a comprehensive literature search strategy? Yes | ||
| 4. | Did the review authors perform study selection in duplicate? Yes | ||
| 5. | Did the review authors perform data extraction in duplicate? Yes | ||
| 6. | Did the review authors provide a list of excluded studies and justify the exclusions? Yes | ||
| 7. | Did the review authors describe the included studies in adequate detail? (Yes if table of included studies, partially if other descriptive overview) Yes | ||
| 8. | Did the review authors use a satisfactory technique for assessing the risk of bias (RoB) in individual studies that were included in the review? No | ||
| 9. | Did the review authors report on the sources of funding for the studies included in the review? Yes | ||
| 10. | If meta-analysis was performed did the review authors use appropriate methods for statistical combination of results? Na | ||
| 11. | Did the review authors provide a satisfactory explanation for, and discussion of, any heterogeneity observed in the results of the review? No | ||
| 12. | If they performed quantitative synthesis did the review authors carry out an adequate investigation of publication bias (small study bias) and discuss its likely impact on the results of the review? No | ||
| 13. | Did the review authors report any potential sources of conflict of interest, including any funding they received for conducting the review? Yes | ||
| Overall (lowest rating on any critical item) |
5. Count of references to
| Sex | 1 |
| Gender | 24 |
| Women | 3 |
| Intra-household | 0 |